Post: # 44428Post
Marky147
March 3rd, 2021, 6:06 pm
I think last week was just a bit of a blip. Lots of good news again from the UK this week.
I look a week back with deaths, but in the 7 days up until then deaths were falling an average of 40% over the previous week down to just over 200 a day. So the reduction is still increasing in percentage terms. Note that the chart in the Telegraph is incorrect as they have used some incomplete death data. Deaths are falling quickly, just not that quickly.
Hospitalisations are now down to around 1,000 a day from 4,000 at wave 2 peak. If anything this is better news than deaths, as there was a worry that hospitilisations wouldn't fall so quickly as middle aged people can still suffer long hospitalisations even if they are less likely to die than the elderly. The total number of Covid patients in hospital is now down almost 70% from the peak, so people are leaving hospital too.
Cases was my worry last week, but having been worried that they were struggling to get below 10k a day last week, we are now seeing numbers close to half of that.
Vaccinations have picked up a bit too from last week's dip. Hopefully there won't be much fall off in the pace from now on.
So all good news this week in the UK, shame Carl Heneghan is back posting regularly now cases are getting low again, it is almost like the last couple of months didn't happen.
Away from the UK, a lot of countries aren't doing nearly as well, but am not going there.
It is all pretty optimistic for us, and I don't see the UK having to extend its reopening schedule and nearly all the pressure is going to be on opening up sooner.
Actuary mate of mine, who is almost as good with numbers, as Marlon is with pillowcases.
it would seem I almost died of constipation when I was a kid at The London Hospital, Whitechapel. 
